Table 2 |
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|
Conditional Probabilities Needed for Predicting Adulthood Obesity |
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|
Women |
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|
|
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|
Type |
Proportion |
Source |
|
|
||
|
P1fa5 = P(at-risk–intervention) |
0.17 |
[40] |
|
P1fa3 = P(at-risk–intervention) |
0.17 |
[40] |
|
P1fo5 = P(overweight–intervention) |
0.15 |
[40] |
|
P1fo3 = P(overweight–intervention) |
0.13 |
[40] |
|
P2fa5 = P(at-risk–no intervention) |
0.21 |
[40] |
|
P2fa3 = P(at-risk–no intervention) |
0.09 |
[40] |
|
P2fo5 = P(overweight–no intervention) |
0.18 |
[40] |
|
P2fo3 = P(overweight–no intervention) |
0.17 |
[40] |
|
P3fa = P(obese at 21–29y/o – at-risk at 11) |
0.69 |
[9] |
|
P3fo = P(obese at 21–29y/o – overweight at 11) |
0.83 |
[9] |
|
P4fa = P(obese at 21–29y/o – not at-risk at 11) |
0.13 |
[9] |
|
P4fo = P(obese at 21–29y/o – not overweight at 11) |
0.16 |
[9] |
|
P5f = P(obese at 40 y/o –obese at 25–29 y/o) |
0.85 |
* |
|
P6f = P(obese at 40 y/o –not obese at 25–29 y/o) |
0.12 |
* |
|
|
||
|
Men |
||
|
|
||
|
P1ma5 = P(at-risk–intervention) |
0.14 |
[40] |
|
P1ma3 = P(at-risk–intervention) |
0.18 |
[40] |
|
P1mo5 = P(overweight–intervention) |
0.27 |
[40] |
|
P1mo3 = P(overweight–intervention) |
0.22 |
[40] |
|
P2ma5 = P(at-risk–no intervention) |
0.18 |
[40] |
|
P2ma3 = P(at-risk–no intervention) |
0.18 |
[40] |
|
P2mo5 = P(overweight–no intervention) |
0.31 |
[40] |
|
P2mo3 = P(overweight–no intervention) |
0.23 |
[40] |
|
P3ma = P(obese at 21–29y/o – at-risk at 11) |
0.69 |
[9] |
|
P3mo = P(obese at 21–29y/o – overweight at 11) |
0.83 |
[9] |
|
P4ma = P(obese at 21–29y/o – not at-risk at 11) |
0.13 |
[9] |
|
P4mo = P(obese at 21–29y/o – not overweight at 11) |
0.16 |
[9] |
|
P5m = P(obese at 40 y/o –obese at 25–29 y/o) |
0.77 |
* |
|
P6m = P(obese at 40 y/o –not obese at 25–29 y/o) |
0.12 |
* |
|
|
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|
[40]Coleman KJ, Tiller CL, Sanchez J, Heath EM, Sy O, Milliken G, Dzewaltowski DA: Prevention of the Epidemic Increase in Child Risk of Overweight in Low-Income Schools: The El Paso Coordinated Approach to Child Health (El Paso). Archives of Pediatrics & Adolescent Medicine 2005, 159:217–224. [9]Whitaker RC, Wright JA, Pep e MS, Seidel KD, Dietz WH: Predicting obesity in young adulthood from childhood and parental obesity. The New England Journal of Medicine 1997, 337(13):869–873. Estimated by the authors. [47] *Calculated from NHANES I Epidemiologic Followup Study (NHEFS) with 1975 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) I data. [47] |
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Brown et al. International Journal of Behavioral Nutrition and Physical Activity 2007 4:47 doi:10.1186/1479-5868-4-47 |
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